google-site-verification: google27d592b2362523c4.html skip to primary navigationskip to content

Department of Land Economy

Environment, Law & Economics

Studying at Cambridge

 

Professor Terry Barker

Professor Terry Barker

Honorary Professor, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia

Senior Department Fellow in the Department of Land Economy

Founder and Trustee of the Cambridge Trust fror New Thinking in Economics

Founder and Director of Cambridge Econometrics Ltd.


Biography:

TERRY BARKER was a Co-ordinating Lead Author for the IPCC’s Third and Fourth Assessment Reports 2001 and 2007, taking responsibility for chapters on cross-sectoral greenhouse gas mitigation. He contributed to the award of the Nobel Peace Prize to the IPCC in 2007. He is an applied economist with over 100 papers published mainly on the topics of economic modelling, international trade, and climate change mitigation. He has over 30 years of experience in building economic models for national economies and the global economy, including models for Botswana, Mexico and the global economy for OPEC. Much of his work 1995-2008 involved the modelling of policies to decarbonise the global and European economies.

Research Interests

  • Economic theory
  • Economic modelling at global, national and regional scales
  • Climate change mitigation

He is developing the theory underlying "New Economics", adopting the assumptions of diversity over people and institutions (not representative agents) in tastes and behaviour, varying economies of scale in production (not constant returns to scale), endogenous money in simulation models of open economic systems.


 

St Catharine's Political Economy Seminar Series

6 March 2019, Terry Barker - ‘Trade and Development: Why a 'No Deal' Brexit Would be an Economic Catastrophe’: Podcast

Trade and Development: why a “no deal” Brexit would be an economic catastrophe

 

 

Key Publications

Barker, Terry and Douglas Crawford-Brown (2015) (eds) Decarbonising the World’s Economy (and author of 2 chapters and co-author of 2 chapters), Imperial College Press, 2015.

Barker, T.S. (1977) ‘International trade and economic growth: an alternative to the neoclassical approach’, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. l, June l977, pp. l53-l72. https://academic.oup.com/cje/article/1/2/153/1674168

Barker, T. and de-Ramon, S (2006) ‘Testing the representative agent assumption: the distribution of parameters in a large-scale model of the EU 1972-98’, Applied Economic Letters, 13:395-398.

Barker, T., Scrieciu, Ş. S. and Taylor, D. (2008) ‘Climate change, social justice and development’, Development, 51: 317-324. doi:10.1057/dev.2008.33

Barker, T., Foxon, T. and Scrieciu, Ş. S. (2008), ‘Achieving the G8 50% target: modelling induced and accelerated technological change using the macro-econometric model E3MG’, Climate Policy Special Issue on ‘Modelling long-term scenarios for low-carbon societies’, 8: S30-S45

Barker, T. (2008) ‘The economics of avoiding dangerous climate change. An editorial essay on The Stern Review’, Climatic Change” 89:173-194. doi: 10.1007/s10584-008-9433-x

Barker, Terry (2010) ‘Endogenous money in 21 Century Keynesian economics’, chapter 6, pp. 202-239 in Philip Arestis and Malcolm Sawyer (eds) 21 Century Keynesian Economics, Palgrave Macmillan.

Barker, Terry (2011) ‘Towards a ‘new economics’: values, resources, money, markets, growth and policy’, chapter 2, pp. 39-76 in Philip Arestis and Malcolm Sawyer (eds) New Economics as Mainstream Economics, Palgrave Macmillan.

Other Publications

Books:

  1. International Competitiveness and Environmental Policies, (editor with Jonathan Köhler, co-author of 2 chapters), Edward Elgar, 1998.
  2. Space-Time Economics, Cambridge Econometrics, 1996.
  3. Global Warming and Energy Demand, (editor with Paul Ekins and Nick Johnstone, co-author of two chapters and sole author of one chapter) Routledge, 1995, ISBN0-415-10980-9 and 0-415-11601-5(pbk), pp. 336+xvi.
  4. Green Futures for Economic Growth, (editor and author of 2 chapters) Cambridge Econometrics, Cambridge, 1991, ISBN 0-9516638-0-1, PP. 137+xii.
  5. Disaggregation in Economic Modelling (editor with M.H. Pesaran, co-author of one chapter and sole author of one chapter) Routledge, London, 1990, ISBN 0-415-00918-9, pp. 348+xiv.
  6. The British Economy after Oil: Manufacturing or Services? (editor with Paul Dunne and author of one chapter) Croom Helm Ltd., London, 1988.
  7. The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model of the British Economy, (editor with William Peterson and (co-)author of four chapters). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1987.
  8. Oil or Industry?  Energy, Industrialisation and Economy Policy:  Issues in Canada, Mexico, Norway and the United Kingdom (editor with Vladimir Brailovsky and author of three chapters).  Academic Press, London. 1981.
  9. Economic Structure and Policy (editor and (co-)author of five chapters).  Chapman and Hall, London, 1976.
  10. The Determinants of Britain's Visible Imports, 1949‑1966, Volume 10 in A Programme for Growth.  Chapman and Hall, London December 1970.
  11. Exploring 1972 with special reference to the Balance of Payments Volume 9 in A Programme for Growth.  Chapman and Hall, London July 1970 (with J.R.C. Lecomber).
  12. Economic Planning for l972:  An Appraisal of ‘The Task Ahead’, Political and Economic Planning, Broadsheet 5l5, November l969.  (with J.R.C. Lecomber).

 

Journal Articles:

  1. ‘China’s air pollution reduction efforts may result in an increase in surface ozone levels in highly polluted areas’ Ambio, 2015 (with Annela Anger as lead author, Olivier Dessens, Fengming Xi, Rui Wu) DOI 10.1007/s13280-015-0700-6
  2. ‘GDP and employment effects of policies to close the 2020 Emissions Gap’, Climate Policy, 2015 (with Eva Alexandri, Jean-Francois Mercure, Yuki Ogawa, and Hector Pollitt) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2014.1003774
  3. ‘Effects of decarbonising international shipping and aviation on climate mitigation and air pollution’ Environmental Science and Policy, 2014, pp. 1-10,
    DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2014.07.007 (with Olivier Dessens as lead author, Annela Anger, and John Pyle)
  4. ‘Are estimated costs of stringent mitigation biased? a commentary on “Counting only the hits? The risk of underestimating the costs of stringent climate policy” by Massimo Tavoni  and Richard S. J. Tol’ Climatic Change, 2013, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9867-9. (with Douglas Crawford-Brown)
  5. ‘A new economics approach to modelling policies to achieve global 2020 targets for climate stabilisation’, 2012, Special Issue on ‘Economic Policies of the New Thinking in Economics’ in the International Review of Applied Economics, Vol. 26, No. 2, pp. 205-211. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02692171.2011.631901 (with Annela Anger, Unnada Chewpreecha,and Hector Pollitt)
  6. ‘Ozone and PM related health co-benefits of climate change policies in Mexico’ Environmental Science and Policy, 2012, 17: 33-40 (with Douglas Crawford-Brown as lead author, Annela Anger and Olivier Dessens)
  7. ‘The Clean Development Mechanism and low carbon development: A panel data analysis’, 2011, Energy Economics, 34:4, pp 1033-1044. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.08.010 (with Yongfu Huang as lead author)
  8. ‘Pushing the boundaries of climate economics: Critical issues to consider in climate policy analysis’, 2011, in a Special Issue of Ecological Economics doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.10.016 (with S. Şerban Scrieciu as lead author and Frank Ackerman)
  9.  ‘Low-carbon development in the least developed region: a case study of Guangyuan, Sichuan province, southwest China’, Natural Hazards, 2011, DOI 10.1007/s11069-011-9993-3 (with Dabo Guan as lead author)
  10. ‘Towards new thinking in economics’, An interview with introduction by Şerban Scrieciu, World Economics, 12:1, January-March, 2011, pp. 115-144.
  11.  ‘The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation’, Global Environ. Change, 2010, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003 (lead author Detlef P.van Vuuren with Morna Isaac, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Nigel Arnell, Terry Barker, Patrick Criqui, Frans Berkhout, Henk Hilderink, Jochen Hinkel, Andries Hof, Alban Kitous, Tom Kram, Reinhard Mechler and Serban Scrieciu)
  12. ‘Integrated modelling of climate control and air pollution: methodology and results from one-way coupling of an energy-environment-economy (E3MG) and atmospheric chemistry model (p-TOMCAT) in decarbonising scenarios for Mexico to 2050’ Environmental Science and Policy, 2010, 13: 661-670 doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2010.09.008  (with Annela Anger, Olivier Dessens, Hector Pollitt, Helen Rogers, Serban Scrieciu,  Rod Jones and John Pyle)
  13. ‘Pathways to a low-carbon economy for the UK with the macro-econometric E3MG model’, Energy Policy 38:6, 2010, pp. 3067-3077.  (with Athanasios Dagoumas as lead author)
  14. ‘Modeling low stabilization with E3MG: towards a “New Economics” approach to simulating Energy-Environment-Economy system dynamics’, Energy Journal Special Issue on “The Economics of Low Stabilisation”, January 2010, pp.137-164. (with Serban Scrieciu)
  15. ‘The Economics of Low Stabilization: Model Comparison of Mitigation Strategies and Costs’, Energy Journal Special Issue on “The Economics of Low Stabilisation”, January 2010, pp.11-48. (with  Ottmar Edenhofer as lead author, Brigitte Knopf, Lavinia Baumstark, Elie Bellevrat, Bertrand Chateau, Patrick Criqui, Morna Isaac, Alban Kitous, Socrates Kypreos, Marian Leimbach, Kai Lessmann, Bertrand Magne, S. Serban Scrieciu, Hal Turton and Detlef P. van Vuuren)’
  16. ‘Does geography matter for the clean development mechanism?’, 2009,  IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci. 6, 112040 (http://iopscience.iop.org/1755-1315/6/11/112040)  (lead author  Yongfu Huang)
  17. ‘Comparison of methods top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials’ Energy Policy, 37, 2009, pp. 5125-5139. (lead author Detlef P.van Vuuren with Monique Hoogwijk, Terry Barker, Keywan Riahi, Stefan Boeters, Jean Chateau, Serban Scrieciu, Jasper van Vliet, Toshihiko Masui, Kornelis Blok, Eliane Blomen and Tom Kram)
  18.  ‘Modeling the financial crisis with the global econometric E3MG model’, Icfai University Journal of Applied Economics, Vol.VIII, Nos. 5 & 6, Sep-Nov 2009. pp.5-31. (lead author Hector Pollitt)
  19.  ‘Unilateral climate change mitigation, carbon leakage and competitiveness: an application to the European Union’, International Journal of Global Warming, Vol.1, No. 4, 2009, pp. 405-417. (with Serban Scrieciu)
  20. ‘Effects of climate control on air pollution: coupling an energy-environment-economy global model (E3MG) and atmospheric chemistry model (p-TOMCAT) in decarbonising international transport’ IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science 6 (2009) 282008 doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/8/282008 (with Dessens, O. (lead author), H. Rogers, A. Anger, R. Jones and J. Pyle)
  21.  ‘The competitiveness effects of European environmental fiscal reforms’, European Review of Energy Markets - volume 3, issue 1, April 2009 (with Paul Ekins, Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt & Philip Summerton)
  22. ‘The macroeconomic rebound effect and the world economy’, Energy Efficiency 2(4) pp 411-427. 2009 (with Athanasios Dagoumas and Jonathan Rubin) doi: 10.1007/s12053-009-9053-y
  23. ‘Climate change, social justice and development’, Development, 2008, 51: 317-324. (with S. Şerban Scrieciu and David Taylor) doi:10.1057/dev.2008.33
  24. ‘Achieving the EU’s 2˚C target through carbon trading’, Environmental Chemistry Group Bulletin, The Royal Society of Chemistry, UK, July, 2008.
  25. ‘The Stern Review and the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: implications for interaction between policymakers and climate experts’, Special Issue of Climatic Change on “The Stern Review and its Critics”, 2008. (with Klaus Hasselmann)
  26. ‘Development of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS), a multi-institutional modular integrated assessment approach for modelling climate change, and of SoftIAM, its supporting software’ Environmental Modelling and Software, 5. 592-610, 2008. (with Warren, R. (lead author), de la Nava Santos, S., Bane, M., Barker, T., Barton, C., Ford, R., Fuessel, Hans-Martin, Klein, Rupert, Linstead, C., Köhler, J.,  Mitchell, T., Osborn, T.J., Pan, H., Raper, S,  Riley, G., Winne, S., and Anderson, D.)
  27.  ‘Integrated Modelling of EU Transport Policy Assessing Economic Growth Impacts from Social Marginal Cost Pricing and Infrastructure Investment’ Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 42(1), 2008, pp. 1–21 (with Jonathan Köhler (lead author) and Ying Jin)
  28. ‘Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policies for Road Transport: Efficiency Agreements Versus Fuel Taxation for the UK, 2000-2010’, Transportation Research Record, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, volume 2017(2007):54-60. (with Jonathan Rubin)
  29.  ‘Carbon leakage from unilateral environmental tax reforms in Europe, 1995-2005’, Energy Policy 35, 2007, 6281–6292. (with Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt and Philip Summerton)
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.06.021
  30. ‘The macroeconomic rebound effect and the UK economy’, Energy Policy 35, 2007, 4935–4946. (with Paul Ekins and Tim Foxon)
  31.  ‘Macroeconomic effects of efficiency policies for energy-intensive industries: The case of the UK Climate Change Agreements, 2000-2010.’ Energy Economics 29(4): 760-778, July 2007. (Special Issue on Modeling Industrial Energy Use) [ISSN: 0140-9883, doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2006.12.008]  (with Paul Ekins and Tim Foxon)
  32.  ‘New Lessons for Technology Policy and Climate Change: Investment for Innovation: a briefing document for policymakers’ Climate Policy, 2007, 7:156–161. (with Jonathan Köhler (lead author), Haoran Pan, Paolo Agnolucci, Paul Ekins, Tim Foxon, Dennis Anderson, Sarah Winne, Paul Dewick, Marcela Miozzo, Ken Green)
  33. ‘Combining energy technology dynamics and macroeconometrics: the E3MG model for climate stabilization scenarios’ for The Energy Journal Special Issue on bottom-up and top-down modeling, 2006, pp. 113-133. (with Jonathan Köhler (lead author), Dennis Anderson and Haoran Pan)
  34. ‘Decarbonizing the Global Economy with Induced Technological Change: Scenarios to 2100 using E3MG’, The  Energy Journal 27: 241-258, April, 2006 (Special Issue on Induced Technological Change: Exploring its Implications for the Economics of Atmospheric Stabilization).  (with  Haoran Pan, Jonathan Köhler, Rachel Warren, and Sarah Winne)
  35.   ‘The costs of Kyoto for the US economy’, The Energy Journal, Vol. 25 No. 3, 2004, pp.53-71. (with Paul Ekins)
  36.  ‘Software Developments in the Cambridge Growth Project 1960–1976: the origins of software for space-time economics’, Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, Vol. 29, 2004, pp. 173-182. (with Wagner Dada and William Peterson)
  37.  ‘Representing global climate change, adaptation and mitigation’, Global Environmental Change, Viewpoint, Vol 13, 2003, pp 1-6.
  38.  ‘The costs of greenhouse gas abatement: a meta-analysis of post-SRES mitigation scenarios’, Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Vol.5, 2002, pp. 135-166. (with Jonathan Koehler and Marcelo Villena)
  39. ‘Carbon taxes and carbon emissions trading’ Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol 15, No. 3, July 2001, (Special Issue on Issues in Environmental Economics eds Nick Hanley and Colin Roberts) pp. 325 –376. (with Paul Ekins)
  40. ‘The role of EU internal policies in implementing greenhouse gas mitigation options to achieve Kyoto targets’, International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics Vol 1, 2001, pp. 243-265. (with Tom Kram, Sebastian Oberthür and Monique Voogt)
  41. ‘Charging for road freight in the EU: macroeconomic implications of a weigh-in-motion tax’, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, Vol. 34, Part 3, pp. 311-332, 2000, and Report for DGVII, Commission of the European Communities. (with Jonathan Köhler) http://www.bath.ac.uk/e-journals/jtep/pdf/Volume_34_Part_3_311-331.pdf
  42. ‘Achieving a 10% cut in Europe’s carbon dioxide emissions using additional excise duties: coordinated, uncoordinated and unilateral action using the econometric model E3ME’, Economic Systems Research, Vol. 11, No. 4, 1999, pp. 401-421.
  43. ‘Equity and ecotax reform in the EU: achieving a 10% reduction in CO2 emissions using excise duties’, Fiscal Studies, Vol. 19, No. 4, 1998, pp. 375-402. (with Jonathan Köhler)
  44. ‘The effects on competitiveness of co-ordinated versus unilateral fiscal policies reducing GHG emissions in the EU: an assessment of a 10% reduction by 2010 using the E3ME model, Energy Policy, Vol. 26, No. 14, 1998, pp. 1083-1098.
  45. ‘Using economic instruments to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions’, UK CEED Bulletin, No. 54, Autumn 1998, pp 26-28.
  46. 49.   ‘The use of energy‑environment‑economy models to inform greenhouse gas mitigation policy’, Special Section of Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal: Reflections on the Use of Models in Policy Making, edited by Simon Shackley, Vol. 16, No. 2, June 1998, pp. 133-131.
  47. ‘Procedural leadership in climate policy: a European task’, Global Environmental Change 7:3 pp. 195-203. (Carlo C. Jaeger (lead author), Terry Barker, Ottmar Edenhofer, Sylvie Faucheux, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Bernd Kasemir, Martin O’Connor, Martin Parry, Irene Peters, Jerry Ravetzh and Jan Rotmans)
  48. ‘Essay Review: a review of Managing the Global Commons: the Economics of Climate Change, by William D Nordhaus’, Energy and Environment, Vol. 7, No. 1, 1996, pp. 85-88.
  49. ‘More jobs, less pollution’, New Economy, Issue on sustainability, summer, 1995, pp. 157-162.
  50. ‘Taxing pollution instead of employment: greenhouse gas abatement through fiscal policy in the UK', Energy and Environment, Vol. 6, No. 1, 1995, pp. 1-28.
  51. ‘Taxing pollution instead of jobs’, Employment Policy Institute Economic Report, Vol. 8, No. 9, November 1994.
  52. ‘Achieving the Rio target: CO2 abatement through fiscal policy in the UK’, Fiscal Studies (with Susan Baylis and Clare Bryden), Vol. 15, No. 3, 1994, pp. 1-18.
  53. ‘Equity and efficiency in policies to reduce carbon emissions in the domestic sector’, Energy and Environment (with Nick Johnstone), Vol. 4, No. 4, 1993, pp. 335-361.
  54. ‘Is green growth possible?: why the economy and the environment must learn to love each other’, New Economy, Introductory Number, 1993, pp. 20-25.
  55. ‘A UK carbon/energy tax: the macroeconomic effects’.  Energy Policy, (with Susan Baylis and Peter Madsen), 1993, Vol. 21, No. 3 (Special Issue on Policy Modelling for Global Climate Change) pp. 296-308.
  56. ‘Measuring the peace dividend in the United Kingdom’.  Journal of Peace Research, (with J. Paul Dunne and R. Smith), 1991, Vol. 28, No. 2, pp. 345-358.
  57. ‘Measuring economic costs of CO2 emission limits’.  Energy the International Journal, 1991, Vol. 16, No. 3, pp. 611-4. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=PublicationURL&_tockey=%23TOC%235710%231991%23999839996%23446879%23FLP%23&_cdi=5710&_pubType=J&_auth=y&_acct=C000053194&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=6785859&md5=d8d8fb9c4696c50a1e38845a06a80be6
  58. ‘Sources of structural change for the UK service industries, 1979-1984’, Economic Systems Research, 1990, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 173-184.
  59. ‘Modelling economic structure and change in the British economy’.  Vierteljahreshefte Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung, 3-86, pp. l56-66, l986.
  60. ‘Forecasting the economic recession, UK l979-82: a comparison of model-based ex ante forecasts’, Journal of Forecasting, l985, Vol. 4, pp. l33-l5l.
  61. ‘A balanced system of national accounts for the United Kingdom’, Review of Income and Wealth, l984 (with F. van der Ploeg and M. Weale).  Series 30, No. 4, pp. 46l-486.
  62. ‘Recuento de la quiebra.  La politica economia en Mexico, l976-l982’, Nexos, No. 7l, November l983, pp. l3-24.  (with Vladimiro Brailovsky) (in Spanish).
  63. ‘Software support for multisectoral dynamic models of national economies’, Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control, Vol. 5, l983, pp. l09-l30.  (with William Peterson as lead author & Rick van der Ploeg).
  64. ‘Long-term recovery: a return to full employment?’, Lloyds Bank Review, No. l43, January l982, pp. l9-35.
  65. ‘A review of models and data in the Norwegian system of economic planning’, Artikler l3l, Central Bureau of Statistics, Oslo, Norway, l98l (32 pages).
  66. ‘Projecting economic structure using a large-scale econometric model’, Futures, Vol. l3, No. 6, December l98l, pp. 458-467.
  67. ‘Depletion policy and the de-industrialisation of the UK economy’, Energy Economics, Vol. 3, No. 2, April l98l, pp. 7l-82
  68. ‘The Cambridge multisectoral dynamic model: an instrument for national economic policy analysis’, Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 2, No. 3, l980, pp. 3l9-344.  (with Vani Borooah, Rick van der Ploeg and Alan Winters).
  69. ‘The economic consequences of monetarism: a Keynesian view of the British economy 1980-90’, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 4, l980, pp. 3l9-336.
  70. ‘Identification of activity effects, trends and cycles in import demand’ in Oxford Bulletin of Economic and Social Research, February l979, pp. 63-68.
  71. ‘Un modello econometrico per la Gran Bretagna’, Mercurio, Vol. l6, May l973, pp. 6-l2.  (in Italian).
  72. ‘Inflation, growth and economic policy in the medium-term’, National Institute Economic Review, No. 60, May l972, pp. 37-55  (with V.H. Woodward).
  73. ‘A maximum sustainable growth rate for British industrial output’, Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 38, July l97l, pp. 369-376.
  74. ‘Effective rates of protection for United Kingdom production’, Economic Journal, Vol. 18, June 1971, pp. 282-293. (with S.S. Han).
  75. ‘Public expenditure and the public’, Moorgate and Wall Street Review, November 1970, pp. 63-8l (with J.R.C. Lecomber).
  76. ‘The import content of final expenditures for the United Kingdom 1954‑1972’, Bulletin of the Oxford University Institute of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 32, February 1970, pp. l-l7. (with J.R.C. Lecomber).
  77. ‘Devaluation and the rise in U.K. prices’. Bulletin of the Oxford University Institute of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 30, May 1968, pp. l29-l4l.

 

Chapters in Books:

  1. ‘The economics of dangerous climate change’, chapter 11 in Shmelev, S.E. (ed) Green Economy Reader: Lectures in Ecological Economics and Sustainability, Springer, 2017, pp. 237-263.
  2. ‘Richard Stone 1913-1991’ chapter 37 in The Palgrave Companion to Cambridge Economics, edited by Robert Cord, Palgrave Macmillan, London, 2017, pp. 835-855.
  3. ‘Effects of the financial system and financial crises on global growth and the environment’, chapter in Philip Arestis and Malcolm Sawyer (eds) Finance and the Macroeconomics of Environmental Policies, Palgrave Macmillan, 2015. (with Annela Anger as lead author)
  4. ‘Introduction’ pp. l-4; ‘Modelling decarbonisation scenarios’ pp. 85-122 (with Annela Anger and Mark Syddall); ‘The economic feasibility of policies for decarbonisation’ pp. 123-150; ‘Conclusions’ pp.341-352; being Chapters l, 4, 5, and l0 in Terry Barker and Douglas Crawford-Brown Decarbonising the World’s Economy (editors), Imperial College Press, 2015.
  5. ‘Achieving Full Employment through Green Fiscal and Monetary Policies’ in Tanweer Ali and Diamond Ashiagbor (eds) Full Employment Revisited: Essays on the Economy, People and Fairness Work Forum Publishing, 2014.
  6. ‘Climate policy: issues and opportunities for rapidly industrializing countries’ Chapter 2, pp. 19-37 in H. Compston and I. Bailey (eds) Feeling the Heat: the Politics of Climate Policy in Rapidly Developing Countries, Palgrave Macmillan, London, 2012.
  7. ‘Models for projecting the impact of Environmental Tax Reform’, Chapter 8, pp. 175-203 in Paul Ekins and Stefan Speck (eds) Environmental Tax Reform (ETR):A Policy for Green Growth, Oxford University Press, 2011. (with Christian Lutz, Bernd Meyer and Hector Pollitt)
  8. ‘Modelling an Environmental Tax Reform for Europe’, Chapter 9, pp. 204-235 in Paul Ekins and Stefan Speck (eds) Environmental Tax Reform (ETR):A Policy for Green Growth, Oxford University Press, 2011. (with Christian Lutz, Bernd Meyer, Hector Pollitt and Stefan Speck)
  9. ‘A ‘whole systems’ approach in ecological economics”, chapter 5 pp. 99-114 in Simon Dietz, Jonathan Michie and Christine Oughton (eds) The Political Economy of the Environment, Routledge, 2011.
  10.  ‘The Economics of Low Stabilisation: Implications for Technological Change and Policy’, chapter 11 in Hulme, M. and H. Neufeldt (eds) Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Cambridge University Press, 2009 (with Knopf, B. and O. Edenhofer (lead authors); Barker, T., Baumstark, L., Criqui, P., Held, A., Isaac, M., Jakob, M., Jochem, E., Kitous, A., Kypreos, S., Leimbach, M., Magné, B., Mima, S., Schade, W., Scrieciu, S., Turton, H. and D.P. van Vuuren (contributing authors)
  11. ‘Scenarios as the Basis for Assessment of Mitigation and Adaptation’, chapter 4 in Hulme, M. and H. Neufeldt (eds) Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Cambridge University Press, 2009 (van Vuuren, D.P., Isaac, M. and Z.W. Kundzewicz (lead authors); Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Bauer, N., Berkhout. F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel. J., Hochrainer, S., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Lugeri, N., Mechler, S. and S. Scrieciu (contributing authors)) 
  12.  ‘The effects of Environmental Tax Reform on international competitiveness in the European Union: modelling with E3ME’, Chapter 7 in Mikael Skou Andersen and Paul Ekins (eds) Carbon-Energy Taxation: Lessons from Europe, Oxford University Press, 2009. (with Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt and Philip Summerton)
  13.  ‘Carbon leakage from unilateral environmental tax reforms in Europe, 1995-2005’, Chapter 8 in Mikael Skou Andersen and Paul Ekins (eds) Carbon-Energy Taxation: Lessons from Europe, Oxford University Press, 2009. (with Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt and Philip Summerton)
  14.  ‘Will the reconstruction of the global economy be positive for mitigating climate change?’ Chapter 2, pp 21-32 in Building a low carbon future: the politics of climate change edited by Anthony Giddens, Simon Latham, and Roger Liddle, 2009.
  15. ‘The macroeconomic effects of unilateral environmental tax reforms in Europe, 1995-2012’ in ‘Innovation, Technology and Employment: Impacts of Environmental Fiscal Reforms and Other Market-Based Instruments’, Chapter 4, pp. 73-100, in J. Cottrell et al. (eds) “Critical Issues in Environmental Taxation VOL VI”, Oxford University Press, 2009. (with Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt and Philip Summerton)
  16. ‘A framework for transport: towards decarbonising transport’, Green Alliance  pamphlet on “Is there more to life than trading?”, 2009 (with Athanasios Dagoumas)
  17. ‘Revenue recycling and labour markets: effects on costs of policies for sustainability’, in (eds) V. Bosetti, R. Gerlagh and S. Schleicher, Modeling Transitions to Sustainable Development, Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2009. (with Sebastian De-Ramon and Hector Pollitt)
  18. ‘Climate policy: issues and opportunities’, Chapter 1, pp. 1-25 in (eds) Hugh Compston and Ian Bailey Turning Down the Heat: The Politics of Climate Policy in Affluent Democracies, Palgrave, 2008.
  19. ‘Mitigation from a cross-sectoral perspective’ Chapter 11 in Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth  Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz, O.R. Davidson, P.R. Bosch, R. Dave, L.A. Meyer (eds)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (with Igor Bashmakov as the other Coordinating Lead Author and Lead Authors: A. Alharthi, M. Amann, L. Cifuentes, J. Drexhage, M. Duan, O. Edenhofer, B. Flannery, M. Grubb, M. Hoogwijk, F. I. Ibitoye, C. J. Jepma, W.A. Pizer, K. Yamaji)
  20.  ‘Summary for Policymakers’ of Climate Change 2007: Mitigation (Metz, B., Ogunlade, D., Meyer, L. eds.) IPCC Working Group III, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 2007. (with others)
  21.  ‘Technical Summary’ of Climate Change 2007: Mitigation (Metz, B., Ogunlade, D., Meyer, L. eds.) IPCC Working Group III, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 2007. (with others)
  22.   ‘Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change by Inducing Technological Progress: Scenarios Using a Large-Scale Econometric Model’, chapter 38 in Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Wolfgang Cramer, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Tom Wigley and Gary Yohe (eds.) Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, 2005. (with Haoran Pan, Jonathan Köhler, Rachel Warren and Sarah Winne)
  23.  ‘Economic instruments for the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions’, The Royal Society Policy Document 26/02, November 2002, London. (with other members of the working group on economic instruments)
  24.  ‘The regional Cambridge multisectoral dynamic model of the UK economy’ Chapter 5 in Regional Science in Business (Eds. G Clarke, M Madden) Springer-Verlag Heidelberg, pp. 79-96, 2001 (with B Fingleton B K Homenidou and R Lewney)
  25.  ‘Synthesis Report’ of Climate Change 2001, IPCC Working Groups, I, II and III, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. (with R. Watson and other authors)
  26.  ‘Technical Summary’ of Climate Change 2001: Mitigation (Metz, B., Ogunlade, D., Swart, R., Pan, J. eds.) IPCC Working Group III, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. (with other authors)
  27.  ‘Sector costs and ancillary benefits of mitigation’, pp. 561-600 in Climate Change 2001: Mitigation (Metz, B., Ogunlade, D., Swart, R., Pan, J. eds.) IPCC Working Group III, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. (with Leena Srivastava)
  28.  ‘Ancillary Benefits of GHG Mitigation in Europe: SO2, NOx and PM10 reductions from policies to meet Kyoto targets using the E3ME model and EXTERNE valuations’, Ancillary Benefits and Costs of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation, Proceedings of an IPCC Co-Sponsored Workshop, March, 2000, OECD, Paris. (with Knut Einar Rosendahl)
  29.  ‘Session Proceedings’, pp. 7-35 in Lenny Bernstein and Jiahua Pan (eds) Sectoral Economic Costs and Benefits of GHG Mitigation, Proceedings of the IPCC Expert Meeting held in Eisenach, Germany, 14-15 February, 2000, IPCC WGIII Technical Support Group, RIVM, The Netherlands, 2000. (with L. Bernstein, K. Gregory, S. Lennon, J. Torres Martinez)
  30. ‘Limits of the tax approach for mitigating global warming’, pp. 239-252 in Jürgen Hacker and Arthur Pelchen, Goals and Economic Instruments for the Achievement of Global Warming Mitigation, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1999.
  31. ‘Macroeconomic cost assessment’, in IPCC Working Group III, Mitigation and Adaptation Cost Assessment: Concepts, Methods and Appropriate Use, United Nations Environment Programme Report, 1998. (with Erik Haites, Jean-Charles Hourcade,and John Weyant)
  32. ‘Large-scale energy-environment-economy modelling of the European Union’, in Iain Begg and Brian Henry (eds), Applied Economics and Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, 1998.
  33. ‘Introduction’ (with Jonathan Köhler) Chapter 1, pp. 1-10, and ‘International competitiveness and carbon taxation’ (with Nick Johnstone) Chapter 4, pp. 69-142, in International Competitiveness and Environmental Policies, Edward Elgar, 1998. (editor with Jonathan Köhler)
  34. ‘Taxing pollution instead of employment’, in Tim O'Riordan (ed), Ecotaxation, Earthscan, 1997.
  35. ‘Assessing fiscal policy for greenhouse gas abatement in the UK and the European Union’ pp. 365-380 in G MacKerron and P Pearson (eds) The UK Energy Experience: A Model or A Warning?, Proceedings of the British Institute of Energy Economists Conference, Warwick, UK, December 1995, Imperial College Press, 1996.
  36. ‘Promoting development and reducing pollution’, pp. 217-220 in A J Fairclough (ed), World Development Aid and Joint Venture Finance 1996/97, published by Kensington Publications in association with the World Business Council for Sustainable Development, London and Hong Kong.
  37. ‘Employment, wage formation and pricing in the European Union: empirical modelling of environmental tax reform’, pp. 229-272 in Carlo Carraro and Domenico Siniscalco  Environmental Fiscal Reform and Unemployment, Kluwer, 1996 (with Ben Gardiner).
  38. ‘Macroeconomic linkages and impacts: technical and fiscal options in GHG abatement’, pp. 368-379 in Proceedings of the International Conference on National Action to Mitigate Global Climate Change, the UNEP Collaborating Centre on Energy and Environment, Riso National Laboratory, Denmark, June 1995 (with George Backus).
  39. ‘A regional and structural model for Europe’ in E Giovannini (eds.) `Social Statistics, National Accounts and Economic Analysis', Annali di Statistica, in honour of Professor Sir Richard Stone, Instito Nazionale si Statistica, Rome, Italy, 1995.
  40. ‘Global warming and energy elasticities’ Chapter 1, ‘Conclusions’ Chapter 14 (with Paul Ekins and Nick Johnstone) and ‘UK energy price elasticities and their implications for long-term CO2 abatement’ Chapter 9, in Barker, Terry, Paul Ekins and Nick Johnstone (eds.) Global Warming and Energy Demand, Routledge, London, 1995.
  41. ‘The carbon tax: economic and policy issues’, in Carlo Carraro and Domenico Siniscalco  The Carbon Tax: An Economic Assessment, Kluwer, 1993
  42. ‘HERMES: a macrosectoral model for the UK economy’, in CEC (eds) HERMES: Harmonised Econometric Research for Modelling Economic Systems, North Holland, 1993 (with R van der Putten and I Stern)
  43. ‘Technological competition, manufacturing and improved economic prospects’, pp. 25-44 in Ivan Yates (ed.) Innovation, Investment and Survival of the UK Economy, The Royal Academy of Engineering, 2 Little Smith Street, London SW1P 3DL, ISBN 1871634237, 1992.
  44. ‘Manufacturing, services and structural change, 1979-84’, (with Osmo Forssell) pp. 14-44 in J. P. Dunne and C. Driver (eds) Structural Change in the British Economy, Cambridge University Press, 1992.
  45. ‘Sources of structural change in the UK agriculture and food industries 1979-1984’, pp. 83-100 in P. Midmore (ed) Input-Output Models in the Agricultural Sector, Avebury, Aldeshot, 1991.
  46. ‘Environmental quality and economic growth’, pp. 1-10, Chapter 1 and `A green scenario for the UK economy', (with Richard Lewney) pp. 11-38, Chapter 2 in Terry Barker (ed) Green Futures for Economic Growth, Cambridge Econometrics, Cambridge, 1991.
  47. ‘Disaggregation in economic modelling - an introduction’ (with M.H. Pesaran); and ‘Macro to micro linkage: some experiments with the UK commodity flow accounts’; being Chapters l and l3 in Terry Barker and Hashem Pesaran (eds.) Disaggregation in Economic Modelling,  Routledge, 1990.
  48. ‘The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model and alternative strategies for full employment in the UK’, pp. l0-42, in M. Hopkins (ed.), Employment Forecasting, International Labor Office, Geneva, l988.
  49. ‘Introduction’ pp. l-9; ‘Theory and Method’ pp. l3-24 (with William Peterson), ‘The accounting framework and the data’ pp. 25-46; ‘The complete model’ pp.47-86; ‘Exports and imports’, pp. 20l-246; and `Export and import prices' pp. 3ll-340; being Chapters l, 2, 3, 4, l0 and l4 in Terry Barker and William Peterson (eds.) The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model of the British Economy, Cambridge University Press, l987.
  50. ‘The experience of monetarism in the United Kingdom l979-l983’, pp. 45-64 in J. Langkau and C. Kohler (eds.)  Wirtschaftspolitik und Wirtschaftliche Entwicklung, a volume in honour of Walter Hesselbach, Friedrich-Ebert-Foundation, Neue Cesellschaft, Bonn. Federal Republic of Germany (in Germany), l985.
  51. ‘Disaggregated model-building using a software support system’, Proceedings of the 3rd IFAC/IFORS/SEDC Conference on Modelling, 1985.  (with William Peterson).
  52. ‘IDIOM an international dynamic input-output model’, pp. l83-l92 in UNIDO (ed.) Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Input-Output Techniques, United Nations, New York.  l984, (with A.W.A. Peterson and L.A. Winters).
  53. ‘Endogenising input-output coefficients by means of industrial submodels’, pp. l83-l92 in A. Smyshlyaev (ed.)  Input-Output modeling: proceedings of the fifth IIASA task force meeting on Input-Output modeling. Springer, Berlin. l985.
  54. ‘An international comparison of energy resources and prices’, pp. ll-l9; `De-industrialisation, North Sea Oil and an investment strategy for the United Kingdom' pp. l9l-224, `Policy issues in energy-rich economies', pp. 299-306; being chapters 2, 8, and l2 in T.S. Barker and V. Brailovsky (eds.), Oil or Industry?  Academic Press, London l98l.
  55. ‘A priori constraints and the analysis of British Imports’ pp. 77-86 in R. Courbis (ed.) International Trade and Multicountry Models, Economica, Paris, l98l.
  56. ‘Economic policy formulation in a large-scale model’, pp. 286-299 in S. Holly, B. Rustem and M.B. Zarrop (eds.), Optimum Control for Econometric Models: An Approach to Economic Policy Formulation, Macmillan, London, l979.
  57. ‘Towards strategic paths in economic planning’, pp. 84-105 in R. Stone and A.W.A. Peterson (eds.), Econometric Contributions to Public Policy, Macmillan, London, l978.
  58. ‘Making the Cambridge Growth Project model dynamic’ pp. 96-109 in W.F. Gossling (ed.) Medium-term Dynamic Forecasting, Input-Output Publishing Company, London, l977.
  59. ‘Models, projections and policies’ pp. 3-l4, ‘An overview of the model’, pp. l5-53; ‘Imports’ pp. l62-l76, ‘The British economy in l980:  a standard view’, pp. 267-294 (with V. Woodward); and ‘Alternative economic policies’, pp. 37l-394; Chapters l, 2, 7, l2 and l6 in T.S. Barker (ed.) Economic Structure and Policy, Chapman and Hall, London, l976.
  60. ‘Projecting alternative structures of the British economy’, pp. 3-25 in K. Polenske and J. Skolka (eds.), Advances in Input-Output Analysis, Ballinger Publishing Company, Cambridge, Mass., l976.
  61. ‘Some experiments in projecting intermediate demand’, pp. 26-42 and `An analysis of the updated l963 input-output transactions matrix', pp. 57-67 in R.I.G. Allen and W.F. Gossling (eds.), Estimating and Projecting Input-Output  Coefficients, Input-Output Publishing Company, London, l975.
  62. `The Cambridge economic growth project model' in G.D.N. Worswick and F.T. Blackaby (eds.).  The Medium Term Models of the British Economy, Heinemann, London l974.
  63. ‘Foreign trade in multisectoral models’, pp. lll-l26 in A. Brody and A.P. Carter (eds.), Input-Output Techniques  Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Input-Output Techniques, North-Holland, l972.
  64. ‘Aggregation error in estimates of the United Kingdom import demand function’, pp. ll5-l43 in K. Hilton and D.F. Heathfield (eds.) The Econometric  Study of the United Kingdom, Macmillan, London, 1970.